Its my fav. topic. (bah)
Wednesday Night and Thursday look fine, cutting right to the chase Thursday Night. Going to have a warm front lifting through the state. NAM/UMKET and GEM have the bluk of the precip north of I-69 THursday Night. So 24 hours out, im going to go likely Pops (70% and Higher) for central and northern lower Michgan, with a chance of pre-cip south of Flint. As of now SPC doesn't have MI circled for any severe weather. But I think there is a chance. The bigger story will be the heavy rain north of Flint Thursday night, and the tropical air (70 + Dewpoints) surging into the great lakes
Depending on what happens to the storms overnight Thursday into early Friday AM. Leads into the temperatures for Friday. Right now I have 93 for Detroit on Friday, combine with dewpoints between 70-75 will mean Heat Indexes around 100-105. This may require a heat advisory for Friday. If the clouds hang around Friday, temps may not be as bad but it will be humid none the less.
There will be a cold front slippin into state on Friday afternoon. This cold is going to be a slow mover, and will be moving into a unstable atmosphere. SPC does have us circled for Friday for a slight chance of severe weather. There will be storms once agian Friday afternoon and night. Some of which maybe severe. Needless to say, ill know more Thursday. Just heads up Friday might be ugly (and hot) .
I would love to say that the cold front will be moving into Ohio on Saturday and will have a nice day. But I think the front is going to be hung up around Flint/Saginaw early afternoon Saturday, this opens the door for severe weather once again Saturday, along with hot and humid weather south of this boundary. Another wave of low pressure will ride along this boundary as well. Northern Michigan looks fine on Saturday, especially north of Bay City/Ludington.
The entire state of Michigan benifits from cooler and less humid air on Sunday and Monday. Highs will be in the 70s and lower 80s state wide. Another warm up looks to begin middle part of next week.
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