Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Severe Weather Update...

Severe T-Storm watch is in effect until 8pm. But I think most of the heavy weather should be gone by 5. Main threat from these storms will be damaging winds!

Friday, July 23, 2010




Severe T-Storm watch is in effect for areas south of I69/I96 until 1am. Storms Friday Night are firing along a stationary boundary. They will be capable at times of producing damagings winds and an isolated tornadoes.

Heavy rain is very likely with these storms. This may produce some flash flooding, especially the flood prone freeways.



Thursday, July 22, 2010

Friday's Forecast

Thursday was the severe weather, Friday will be the heat and humidity will be the bigger story. The following will be the highs across lower MI im going for...

Detroit-93
Adrian-94
Lansing- 92
Grand Rapids - 91
K-Zoo- 93

Combine that with Dewpoints that will be in the mid to at times upper 70s. This will make for one of the most unconfortible days of the summer as heat indexes will be in 100-105 range. Drink plenty of water, and if you can possibly stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, that would be a plus.

There is a slight chance of Severe weather with any storms that fire Friday

A "New" Tornado Watch




For the 3rd time in 24 hours, a new tornado watch has been issued for lower Michigan (also N. IN and NW OH). This watch runs until 7am.

Storms have continued to hold they're own as they cross into over Lake Michigan, Into the state of Michigan. Combine with very high dewpoints, LLJ and warm front slowly retreating north. Storms will hold they're own overnight.

Flooding Threat


A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Lower Michigan south of a Ludington to Higgins Lake to Oscoda Line. Below in the image of the Great Lakes radar view. You can see that the storms are lined up from the Holland Shore to almost back to the Wisconsin Dells. And they're moving over the same area causing hours of heavy rain!


On a side note, flooding is especally dangerous at night due to the unknown water depth! Use extreme caution while traveling through the overnight! If you come up to a flooded out road way try to find another route.





New Tornado watch is in effect for Lower MI until 3am. This replaces the tornado watch that was in effect until 10pm. Line of storms off to the west will move into lower MI over the next couple of hrs. This may produce damaging winds, hail and some tornadoes. Also heavy rain is possible, causing some localized flooding



New Tornado watch is in effect for Lower MI until 3am. This replaces the tornado watch that was in effect until 10pm. Line of storms off to the west will move into lower MI over the next couple of hrs. This may produce damaging winds, hail and some tornadoes. Also heavy rain is possible, causing some localized flooding

Weather Update

Tornado Warnings are in effect for Lenawee and Hillsdale County. Tornado Watch is in effect for Detroit South til 11pm.

Ubran & Small Stream Flood Advisoies are in effect for Jackson, Calhoun and K-Zoo Counties

Flash Flood Watches are in effect for a good chunk of Western and Northern Michigan. Heavy rain is possible with some of the storms.

A secondary complex of storms are currently in Wisconsin with tornado warnings. This may bring severe weather later tonight as well.

Tornado Watch



Tornado Watch is in effect for southern lower Michigan until 10pm, a couple super cells have fired along and south of I94. Some of these storms may produced large hail, damaging winds and possibly some tornadoes.

Also as you can see there is another severe line of storms firing in WI. I'm expecting these to move into lower Michigan through the overnight.

Also, Heavy rain is possible which may cause some localized flooding... Flash Flood Watch is in effect for parts of west Michigan and also parts of Northern Michigan.

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Storms and Heat

Its my fav. topic. (bah)






Wednesday Night and Thursday look fine, cutting right to the chase Thursday Night. Going to have a warm front lifting through the state. NAM/UMKET and GEM have the bluk of the precip north of I-69 THursday Night. So 24 hours out, im going to go likely Pops (70% and Higher) for central and northern lower Michgan, with a chance of pre-cip south of Flint. As of now SPC doesn't have MI circled for any severe weather. But I think there is a chance. The bigger story will be the heavy rain north of Flint Thursday night, and the tropical air (70 + Dewpoints) surging into the great lakes
















Depending on what happens to the storms overnight Thursday into early Friday AM. Leads into the temperatures for Friday. Right now I have 93 for Detroit on Friday, combine with dewpoints between 70-75 will mean Heat Indexes around 100-105. This may require a heat advisory for Friday. If the clouds hang around Friday, temps may not be as bad but it will be humid none the less.








There will be a cold front slippin into state on Friday afternoon. This cold is going to be a slow mover, and will be moving into a unstable atmosphere. SPC does have us circled for Friday for a slight chance of severe weather. There will be storms once agian Friday afternoon and night. Some of which maybe severe. Needless to say, ill know more Thursday. Just heads up Friday might be ugly (and hot) .








I would love to say that the cold front will be moving into Ohio on Saturday and will have a nice day. But I think the front is going to be hung up around Flint/Saginaw early afternoon Saturday, this opens the door for severe weather once again Saturday, along with hot and humid weather south of this boundary. Another wave of low pressure will ride along this boundary as well. Northern Michigan looks fine on Saturday, especially north of Bay City/Ludington.








The entire state of Michigan benifits from cooler and less humid air on Sunday and Monday. Highs will be in the 70s and lower 80s state wide. Another warm up looks to begin middle part of next week.

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Severe Weather Update.

For the most part the severe weather has stop across the Detroit area. We had some severe storms push through the metro with some reports of hail.

Severe weather is really get going across central lower Michigan. Right along a warm front is where some super cells have fired.

It will still remain muggy for the overnight across southern lower michigan with temps only going into the lower 70s.

Full forecast update coming later

Severe Storms

Storms are starting to get there act together on the west side of MI and will start to march east. areas around US-127 should begin to see the stroms around 430-5 and around metro detroit around and after 530. Some storms this afternoon will producing damaging winds. Isolated hail and tornadoes are also possible.

Severe T-Storm Watch



Severe T-Storm Watch is in effect for Central and Southern Lower MI until 9pm. Biggest threat from these storms Sunday afternoon and early evening will be damaging winds. However an isolated tornado and severe hail can't be ruled out as well.

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Severe T-Storm Watch




Severe T-Storm Watch remains in effect until 10pm for all of lower MI. Some storms maybe severe with large hail and damaging winds.

The other story is the heat today, temps will push into the 90s with heat indexes near 100 before the storms.

TK

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Severe T-Storm Warning

Severe T-Storm Warning until 2pm/1pm (CDT) for Gogebic County. Storm is capable of producing 60mph winds and large hail east of Ironwood.

U.P. Severe Weather...







Tornado Watch is in effect for Upper Michigan from Marquette/Delta Counties West and Southward until 8pm/7pm Central. There is a chance of severe weather for the Upper Michigan yes and even a tornado or too. But I think the bigger tornado threat with possibly a couple EF-3 or higher tornadoes are going to be in Wisconsin south and west of Green Bay. Still be alert, especially in the Central and Western U.P.








For the day Thursday, Lower Michigan is in the severe weather threat.


As for temperatures, near 90 on Wednesday and low to mid 90s for Thursday. 80s and 90s for the north Wednesday. 70s Thursday

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Bye Bye Heat!

Temps will cool off into the 80s on Friday and less humidity! Weekend isn't looking to bad as well with dry conditions and temps in the mid to upper 80s. Humidity might tick up a touch Sunday.

System bares watching Monday into Tuesday. Weather might get interesting Monday into Tuesday with possible severe weather.

Ridge looks to re-estabish its self late next week, so another heat wave is possible Next Thursday and Friday

TK

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Dangerous Heat Wednesday

Heat Advisory is now in effect for the entire Detroit NWS County Warned Area until 8am Thursday, A Heat Advisory is in effect for West Michigan from Lansing to Jackson westward until 8pm Wednesday Night. Also the Michigan DNR has issued an Air Quality Alert for the Detroit Area for Wednesday. Highs today will be in the low to mid 90s across the lower lakes with heat indexes at over over 100. Lows Thursday Morning, Not much better in the upper 70s.

Best bet is to stay indoors during the hottest part of the day. But if you have to be outdoors, make sure you take plenty of breaks and drinks alot of water. Tigers game Wednesday Afternoon same drill. Make sure you're drinking tons of water, and if you can (not 100% sure) see if they have cooling centers at Comerica Park. If they do you might want to take advantage of that.

There is a slight chance of storms as well Wednesday afternoon, but don't hold you're breath... Better chance of Thursday with a cold front moving into the area.

TK

Monday, July 5, 2010

Heat Advisory

Heat Advisory is now ineffect through Late Wednesday. High temperatures Tuesday and Wedensday will be in the mid 90s with heat indexes in the 100-105 range, especially on Wednesday. Tuesday the dewpoints will be lower slightly, but its still going to feel awful and heat indexes will still be in the upper 90s. Lows at night will only cool off into the mid to upper 70s with heat indexes still in the in the upper 80s, possible near 90 on Tuesday AM, Tuesday Night and Wednesday Night.

A Heat Advisory is issued in the Detroit CWA when either temperatures are between 95-100, heat indexes are between 95-105 and or lows at night only drop to no lower than 75. People need to do outdoor activities in the early morning the next few days (before 9am) or after the sun goes down. If you must work outside, drink plenty of water, and take frequent breaks. Best bet between 11am and 6pm is stay inside in the AC. If you have no, AC ... head to a cooling center or a place that does. And if all else fails, the lake works too.

We might sneak in a storm on Wendesday, better chance of storms on Thursday.

TK

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Sneak Peak 4th of July

Wow, a comfortable last couple nights, in fact almost "cold" Tuesday Night into Wednesday morning as temps took a nose dive into the 40s across most locations. I hope everyones AC and fans enjoyed this nice break because I am a afraid that they're going to be put back to work starting Saturday.

Friday the area of high pressure that was over the great lakes and giving us excellent sleeping nights will start to shift stage right out of the area and open the door for a southwest and eventually moist flow. Temperatures will be a few dergees warmer than Thursday. But I think the region really starts to notice a difference starting Saturday. And by Independence Day the heat and humidy will really be turned up! I'll leave some state maps of temperatures up at the bottom.


Next Chance of rain for the southern part of the state doesn't come in until at least Monday. If you're going to Northern Michigan, Rain chances start to increase Sunday in the Upper Pensuala and for the rest of the region on Monday.


Highs for lower MI including the DET, GR, Tri Cites, and Lansing will be in the mid to upper 80s Saturday. Lower 90s Sunday through Tuesday. Lows won't be in the 70s... It will be warm in Northern MI on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 80s on Saturday and Sunday. UP will see highs in the 80s on Saturday, upper 70s and low 80s Sunday with a chance of storms.







Saturday Temperatures across the state, from NWS offices across the state






Sunday High temperatures, same thank you as above, Hotter than a firecracker?




Sunday's rain chances, mainly across the Western UP. Better chance of rain for the rest of the state starting Monday as a cold front moves in.