Looking at a dry day for Tuesday, ya thats hard to believe after Tuesday Morning's rain, but the rest of the day should remain dry. Ill throw a token 20% chance that a Tuesday afternoon storm or a lake breeze storm might fire up. Bigger story is going to be the hot and humid conditions for Tuesday as highs will be in the lower 90s, combine that with sticky dewpoints near 70. Heat Indexs will approach the upper 90s, possibly 100.
Another complex will move through the state on Tuesday Night and into Wednesday morning. Where is the big question? and its going to be a huge question. Becasue if this complex takes the Big Rapids, Mt . Pleasant route. This sets up a very scary sutition on Wednesday for areas in southern lower Michigan south of a Saginaw, Alma to Grand Rapids line . And I'm talking to the point where you might need to review you're tornado safety plans for Wednesday. If it takes a Lansing to Detroit route, that should somewhat stablzie the atmosphere in Lower Michigan and make it a less of a severe weather threat. SPC outlook so far ( at the top of the page) right now its a slight risk but ive never seen a 45% for the lower lakes 2 days out and thats what concerns me.
Wednesday's set will see an area of Low Presure moves through, Upper level low in the UP and vort max moving through Lake Michigan pushing into a hot and humid air mass on Wednesday as we push towards 90 once agian.
Thursday and Friday (Jobbie Nooner Day ;) ) looks nice and dry and temps in the 80s. Thursday looks less humid. But Friday the humidity may start to return.
TK
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