As you can see on the surface map we have a boundary that hasn't moved pretty much since Friday night. In fact it has backed up towards the US-23 from about Flint to Adrian MI. Going to be jumping on the GFS train for the forecast through Monday Morning and heres why.
this is the NAM run, keeps the heavier precip to the South and east of us
This is the GFS run, and as you can see the GFS model brings more precip into SE MI. With the Cold front backing up towards US 23. I think most areas east of US 23 will see good mesurible rainfall and this model varifies this.
Lows tonight will be in the low 60s. Winds will be picking up a touch by the morning.
Monday looks allright , temps will be in 70s. Winds will be breezy out of the west/southwest 15-20 with some gusts up to 30mph. As of right now I believe the showers and t-storms will hold off until Monday Night as another storm system breaks off the main upper level low which is in North Dakota.
Rest of week Tuesday looks a touch cooler, Wednesday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the 80s. Then Thursday and beyond I have very low confidence in the weather forecast, but right now there is a good possibly of mothers day weekend looking cooler and possibly wet.
Thanks for reading
Thomas
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