Kips & Weather Bits: Monday Night Forecast

We will have a shot of showers and thunderstorms tonight across the area as a trough moves through lower MI. A Severe T-Storm Watch was posted for IN/IL as of this Blog. I think Severe Weather though will be slim to none across Lower MI. Lows Monday Night will be in the mid 50s.

Tuesday a warm front will push through the state. Thinking right now that this warm front is going through dry. But the atmosphere becomes slightly unstable tomorow afternoon (200 j/kg) that might touch off a thunderstorm, but all and all I think we stay dry. Temperatures will be near 70.

A better chance of t-storms on the day time on Wednesday. Cold Front will be coming through Wednesday afternoon and evening. It will also be coming through during peak heating. Wednesday does look to be the warmest day out of the week with highs in the 80s. Severe weather does look possible. Later outlooks from SPC will clear up the picture if we will have a better chance at strong to severe t-storms. Right now we are at a 5% chance for severe weather.

Wednesday outlook for Severe Weather

Thursday we will be in-between systems. Friday looks to be wet and stormy. SPC does have the lower lakes under a Day 5 outlook. Right now I believe severe weather won't be an issue. A good rain possibly, but no severe weather as we will be north of the stationary boundary. This might lift a touch north. The GFS is a more progessive VS the Euro Model which rapidly deepins the systerm in Lake Huron up by Rodgers City MI. This might allow for severe weather across lower MI. 4-5 days off so forecast changes are likely. But for now just plan on a wet Friday.